Global Hotspot Tracker

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Middle East/North Africa Regional Tensions

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium

Russia/Ukraine Conflict

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium

Military escalation scenarios

• Rafah residents report the “worst night yet” of Israeli bombing in the city.

Risk level – medium

• Israeli war cabinet member Benny Gantz, a moderate, said a Rafah offensive would be necessary if a hostage release deal isn’t reached by the March 10 start of Ramadan. 

Risk level – medium/high

• The escalating pace of Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah strikes in northern Israel increased fears of a major confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah. 

Risk level – medium